Double-Digit Growth Expected in the Smart Home Market

Double-Digit Growth Expected in the Smart Home Market

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The global market for smart home devices is expected to grow 26.9% year over year in 2019 to 832.7 million shipments, according to IDC. Sustained growth is expected to continue with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 16.9% over the 2019-2023 forecast period and nearly 1.6 billion devices shipped in 2023 as consumers adopt multiple devices within their homes and as global availability of products and services increases.

"2018 was all about getting products into consumers' homes and both Amazon and Google excelled at this through low-cost smart speakers and multiple bundles across device categories," said Jitesh Ubrani research manager for IDC Mobile Device Trackers. "However, 2019 will be more about tying the various devices together to form a more cohesive experience and more importantly, layering in additional services."

Though the smart home market will essentially be dominated by two companies, Amazon and Google, Apple is also expected to gain traction in the coming years. The existing popularity of iOS and macOS devices combined with the availability of Apple apps/services on non-Apple products will help the company slowly entice more consumers into their ecosystem while also attracting third parties to build compatible devices. Beyond Apple, Samsung is another company that is worth watching as its products extend into every category and the company continues to invest in Bixby and Tizen.

"One important trend to watch is how smart assistants become integrated throughout the home," said Ramon T. Llamas, research director for IDC's Consumer IoT Program. "Smart assistants will act as the point of contact with multiple smart home devices and essentially become the cornerstone of the smart home experience. Already we've been seeing that with smart speakers and this will eventually move on to appliances, thermostats, and all sorts of video entertainment."

Smart Home Devices by Category, 2019 and 2023 (shipments in millions)

Category

2019 Shipments

2019 Share

2023 Shipments

2023 Share

2019 – 2023 CAGR

Home Monitoring

140.3

16.8%

351.7

22.6%

25.8%

Lighting

56.9

6.8%

183.2

11.8%

34.0%

Others

114.3

13.7%

269.4

17.3%

23.9%

Smart Speaker

144.3

17.3%

240.1

15.4%

13.6%

Thermostat

18.8

2.3%

37.5

2.4%

18.8%

Video Entertainment

358.1

43.0%

475.4

30.5%

7.3%

Total

832.7

100.0%

1,557.4

100.0%

16.9%

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